Philadelphia 76ers 2026-27
The Philadelphia 76ers went 45-37 in 2025-26 and ranked 18th in net rating and 16th in defense. The sportsbooks set their 2026-27 win total at 50.5. Our model has them at 42 wins, and our projected record, which weights the line three to one, is 48-34, the No. 4 seed in the East. The model sits 8.1 wins below the line, so our call is the under, one of our six best bets.
The question
Can a brand-new star group of Maxey, Brown, LeBron and Embiid stay healthy, especially Embiid (96 games in three years), and find roles and enough defense with backup center thinned by Hukporti's Achilles?
Projected starters
Reporting confidence: high.
Bench rotation
Anfernee Simons · Labaron Philon Jr. · Dominick Barlow · Jabari Walker · Adem Bona
Players at 1.73 or better on AQI
- Jaylen Brown 2.44
- Joel Embiid 2.31
Top-three salaries, 2025-26 games
Joel Embiid 38; Jaylen Brown 71; Tyrese Maxey 70 (71% of possible games)
Injuries
- Ariel Hukporti · Out for seasonRight Achilles injury in the Oct 5 preseason game (Covers lists a ruptured Achilles, Oct 6)
- Adem Bona · OutFoot sprain from FIBA play for Turkey; had not practiced in camp (Oct 7)
- Tacko Fall · OutHip, a few days into camp
- Anfernee Simons · Day-to-dayMuscle tightness; sat Oct 5
- Dominick Barlow · Day-to-dayBack; sat Oct 5
Rookies to watch
- Labaron Philon Jr. (No. 22): Ran point in the 2nd half Oct 5: 25 min, 6 pts, 4 ast. Nurse: "What's showing more is his ability to run an offense."
Roster and contracts
| Player | Pos | Age | 2026-27 salary | AQI | AQI season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid | C | 32 | $58.1M | 2.31 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Jaylen Brown | G | 29 | $57.1M | 2.44 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Tyrese Maxey | G | 25 | $40.8M | 0.63 | 2025-26 | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | G | 33 | $21.6M | -0.86 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| VJ Edgecombe | G | 21 | $11.7M | 0.21 | 2025-26 | |
| Dominick Barlow | F | 23 | $3.4M | 0.10 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Jabari Walker | F | 24 | $2.6M | — | ||
| Justin Edwards | F | 22 | $2.4M | — | ||
| Adem Bona | C | 23 | $2.3M | -0.02 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Tacko Fall | C | 30 | — | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Ariel Hukporti | C | 24 | — | — | Out | |
| LeBron James | F | 41 | — | 0.85 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Dillon Jones | F | 24 | — | — | ||
| Caleb Love | G | 25 | — | -1.25 | 2025-26 | |
| Duke MilesRookie | G | 24 | — | — | ||
| Jameer Nelson Jr.Rookie | G | 25 | — | — | ||
| Labaron Philon Jr.Rookie | G | 20 | — | — | ||
| Rayan Rupert | G | 22 | — | -1.87 | 2025-26 | |
| Anfernee Simons | G | 27 | — | 0.88 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Saint ThomasRookie | F | 23 | — | — | ||
| Dean Wade | F | 29 | — | 0.58 | 2025-26 |
AQI is a player's on-court net rating × usage × (true shooting ÷ 0.550): his 2025-26 number if he played 1,000 minutes, otherwise his latest 1,500-minute season. Highlighted players are at or above 1.73, the floor every champion's best player has cleared. Salaries and injury designations from ESPN as of October 13, 2026.
Common questions
What is the Philadelphia 76ers win total for 2026-27?
The median win total across BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 and BetRivers is 50.5 (BetMGM 50.5 · BetRivers 50.5 · Caesars 50.5 · DraftKings 48.5 · bet365 50.5).
How many games will the 76ers win in 2026-27?
DataDunkNBA projects 48-34. The model sits 8.1 wins below the line, so our call is the under, one of our six best bets.
Who is injured for the 76ers?
Ariel Hukporti: Out for season (Right Achilles injury in the Oct 5 preseason game (Covers lists a ruptured Achilles, Oct 6)); Adem Bona: Out (Foot sprain from FIBA play for Turkey; had not practiced in camp (Oct 7)); Tacko Fall: Out (Hip, a few days into camp); Anfernee Simons: Day-to-day (Muscle tightness; sat Oct 5); Dominick Barlow: Day-to-day (Back; sat Oct 5).
East projected standings
| Seed | Team | Line | Our record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Knicks | 52.5 | 52-30 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 51.5 | 52-30 |
| 3 | Detroit Pistons | 48.5 | 50-32 |
| 4 | Philadelphia 76ers | 50.5 | 48-34 |
| 5 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 48.5 | 48-34 |
| 6 | Toronto Raptors | 46.5 | 46-36 |
| 7 | Miami Heat | 46.5 | 45-37 |
| 8 | Orlando Magic | 43.5 | 43-39 |
| 9 | Atlanta Hawks | 43.5 | 43-39 |
| 10 | Charlotte Hornets | 38.5 | 40-42 |
| 11 | Indiana Pacers | 43.5 | 40-42 |
| 12 | Washington Wizards | 34.5 | 32-50 |
| 13 | Chicago Bulls | 29.5 | 30-52 |
| 14 | Milwaukee Bucks | 25.5 | 27-55 |
| 15 | Brooklyn Nets | 24.5 | 25-57 |
Read the full reasoning for every team in Vegas vs. the Numbers: our 2026-27 predictions, and how the contender tests work in the four tests preview and the AQI explainer.