Toronto Raptors 2026-27
The Toronto Raptors went 46-36 in 2025-26 and ranked 11th in net rating and 5th in defense. The sportsbooks set their 2026-27 win total at 46.5. Our model has them at 45 wins, and our projected record, which weights the line three to one, is 46-36, the No. 6 seed in the East. The model and the line are within five wins of each other, so there's no lean.
The question
How much Kawhi Leonard does Toronto get, and when, given that the team is managing his workload with an eye on April and May, and how do Leonard, Barnes and Barrett share creation?
Projected starters
Reporting confidence: medium.
Bench rotation
Collin Murray-Boyles
Players at 1.73 or better on AQI
- Kawhi Leonard 3.12
Top-three salaries, 2025-26 games
Kawhi Leonard 65; Scottie Barnes 80; Immanuel Quickley 70 (87% of possible games)
Injuries
- Kawhi Leonard · Ramping upDid not dress Oct 3 (TSN: 'still recovering from an injury'; Rotoballer: absence 'not injury related'). Practiced fully for the first time around Oct 5. Was not expected to play Oct 10.
Rookies to watch
- Allen Graves (No. 19): Named among the key additions. No role reporting found.
Roster and contracts
| Player | Pos | Age | 2026-27 salary | AQI | AQI season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard | F | 35 | $50.3M | 3.12 | 2025-26 | |
| Scottie Barnes | F | 25 | $41.8M | 1.17 | 2025-26 | |
| Immanuel Quickley | G | 27 | $32.5M | 0.59 | 2025-26 | |
| RJ Barrett | F | 26 | $29.6M | 1.30 | 2025-26 | |
| Jakob Poeltl | C | 30 | $19.5M | 0.40 | 2025-26 | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | F | 21 | $6.6M | 0.32 | 2025-26 | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | G | 22 | $3.8M | 0.01 | 2025-26 | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | F | 26 | $2.4M | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Jamison Battle | F | 25 | $2.3M | — | ||
| Jamal Shead | G | 24 | $2.3M | 0.82 | 2025-26 | |
| Kyle Anderson | F | 33 | — | — | ||
| Nate BittleRookie | C | 23 | — | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Jaden BradleyRookie | G | 23 | — | — | ||
| Nimari BurnettRookie | G | 24 | — | — | ||
| Tyson DegenhartRookie | F | 23 | — | — | ||
| Allen GravesRookie | F | 20 | — | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Chucky Hepburn | G | 23 | — | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | G | 24 | — | — | ||
| Trey Jemison III | C | 26 | — | — | ||
| Tyreke Key | G | 27 | — | — | ||
| Alijah Martin | G | 24 | — | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Malachi Smith | G | 26 | — | — |
AQI is a player's on-court net rating × usage × (true shooting ÷ 0.550): his 2025-26 number if he played 1,000 minutes, otherwise his latest 1,500-minute season. Highlighted players are at or above 1.73, the floor every champion's best player has cleared. Salaries and injury designations from ESPN as of October 13, 2026.
Common questions
What is the Toronto Raptors win total for 2026-27?
The median win total across BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 and BetRivers is 46.5 (BetMGM 46.5 · BetRivers 46.5 · Caesars 47.5 · bet365 46.5).
How many games will the Raptors win in 2026-27?
DataDunkNBA projects 46-36. The model and the line are within five wins of each other, so there's no lean.
Who is injured for the Raptors?
Kawhi Leonard: Ramping up (Did not dress Oct 3 (TSN: 'still recovering from an injury'; Rotoballer: absence 'not injury related'). Practiced fully for the first time around Oct 5. Was not expected to play Oct 10.).
East projected standings
| Seed | Team | Line | Our record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Knicks | 52.5 | 52-30 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 51.5 | 52-30 |
| 3 | Detroit Pistons | 48.5 | 50-32 |
| 4 | Philadelphia 76ers | 50.5 | 48-34 |
| 5 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 48.5 | 48-34 |
| 6 | Toronto Raptors | 46.5 | 46-36 |
| 7 | Miami Heat | 46.5 | 45-37 |
| 8 | Orlando Magic | 43.5 | 43-39 |
| 9 | Atlanta Hawks | 43.5 | 43-39 |
| 10 | Charlotte Hornets | 38.5 | 40-42 |
| 11 | Indiana Pacers | 43.5 | 40-42 |
| 12 | Washington Wizards | 34.5 | 32-50 |
| 13 | Chicago Bulls | 29.5 | 30-52 |
| 14 | Milwaukee Bucks | 25.5 | 27-55 |
| 15 | Brooklyn Nets | 24.5 | 25-57 |
Read the full reasoning for every team in Vegas vs. the Numbers: our 2026-27 predictions, and how the contender tests work in the four tests preview and the AQI explainer.