Detroit Pistons 2026-27
The Detroit Pistons went 60-22 in 2025-26 and ranked 3rd in net rating and 2nd in defense. The sportsbooks set their 2026-27 win total at 48.5. Our model has them at 55 wins, and our projected record, which weights the line three to one, is 50-32, the No. 3 seed in the East. The model sits 6.3 wins above the line, so our call is the over.
The question
How quickly does Jalen Duren, newly signed after a holdout, get back up to speed, and do the shooting additions (Robinson, Joe, Huerter, Collins) fix a team that ranked 28th in made threes?
Projected starters
Reporting confidence: medium.
Bench rotation
Isaiah Joe · Kevin Huerter · Taurean Prince · Ron Holland · Paul Reed · Javonte Green · Daniss Jenkins
Players at 1.73 or better on AQI
- Cade Cunningham 3.55
- Jalen Duren 3.48
- Isaiah Joe 2.51
- Duncan Robinson 2.19
Top-three salaries, 2025-26 games
Cade Cunningham 64; Jalen Duren 70; John Collins 69 (82% of possible games)
Injuries
No significant injuries reported.
Rookies to watch
- Ebuka Okorie (No. 17): Acquired via trade. RealGM lists him as limited playing time. No real-minutes role reported.
Roster and contracts
| Player | Pos | Age | 2026-27 salary | AQI | AQI season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | G | 25 | $50.1M | 3.55 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Duncan Robinson | F | 32 | $16.0M | 2.19 | 2025-26 | |
| Isaiah Joe | G | 27 | $11.3M | 2.51 | 2025-26 | |
| Ausar Thompson | G | 23 | $11.1M | 1.72 | 2025-26 | |
| Ronald Holland II | F | 21 | $9.1M | 0.75 | 2025-26 | |
| Paul Reed | F | 27 | $5.0M | — | ||
| Daniss Jenkins | G | 25 | $4.0M | 1.41 | 2025-26 | |
| Taurean Prince | F | 32 | $3.8M | -0.07 | 2024-25 | |
| Tolu Smith | F | 26 | $2.4M | — | ||
| Chaz Lanier | G | 24 | $2.2M | — | ||
| John Collins | F | 29 | — | -0.23 | 2025-26 | |
| Jalen Duren | C | 22 | — | 3.48 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Javonte Green | G | 33 | — | 1.15 | 2025-26 | |
| Elijah Harkless | G | 26 | — | — | ||
| Kevin Huerter | G | 28 | — | 0.50 | 2025-26 | |
| Isaac Jones | C | 26 | — | — | ||
| Ebuka OkorieRookie | G | 19 | — | — | ||
| Ugonna OnyensoRookie | C | 22 | — | — | ||
| Brice Williams | F | 25 | — | — |
AQI is a player's on-court net rating × usage × (true shooting ÷ 0.550): his 2025-26 number if he played 1,000 minutes, otherwise his latest 1,500-minute season. Highlighted players are at or above 1.73, the floor every champion's best player has cleared. Salaries and injury designations from ESPN as of October 13, 2026.
Common questions
What is the Detroit Pistons win total for 2026-27?
The median win total across BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 and BetRivers is 48.5 (BetMGM 49.5 · BetRivers 49.5 · Caesars 48.5 · DraftKings 48.5).
How many games will the Pistons win in 2026-27?
DataDunkNBA projects 50-32. The model sits 6.3 wins above the line, so our call is the over.
Who is injured for the Pistons?
No significant injuries were reported as of October 13, 2026.
East projected standings
| Seed | Team | Line | Our record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Knicks | 52.5 | 52-30 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 51.5 | 52-30 |
| 3 | Detroit Pistons | 48.5 | 50-32 |
| 4 | Philadelphia 76ers | 50.5 | 48-34 |
| 5 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 48.5 | 48-34 |
| 6 | Toronto Raptors | 46.5 | 46-36 |
| 7 | Miami Heat | 46.5 | 45-37 |
| 8 | Orlando Magic | 43.5 | 43-39 |
| 9 | Atlanta Hawks | 43.5 | 43-39 |
| 10 | Charlotte Hornets | 38.5 | 40-42 |
| 11 | Indiana Pacers | 43.5 | 40-42 |
| 12 | Washington Wizards | 34.5 | 32-50 |
| 13 | Chicago Bulls | 29.5 | 30-52 |
| 14 | Milwaukee Bucks | 25.5 | 27-55 |
| 15 | Brooklyn Nets | 24.5 | 25-57 |
Read the full reasoning for every team in Vegas vs. the Numbers: our 2026-27 predictions, and how the contender tests work in the four tests preview and the AQI explainer.