Atlanta Hawks 2026-27
The Atlanta Hawks went 46-36 in 2025-26 and ranked 12th in net rating and 9th in defense. The sportsbooks set their 2026-27 win total at 43.5. Our model has them at 42 wins, and our projected record, which weights the line three to one, is 43-39, the No. 9 seed in the East. The model and the line are within five wins of each other, so there's no lean.
The question
Can Snyder settle the backup power forward job and fold lottery pick Kingston Flemings into the guard rotation without breaking up a starting five that went 20-10 last season?
Projected starters
Reporting confidence: high.
Bench rotation
Luguentz Dort · Aaron Wiggins · Corey Kispert · Kingston Flemings · Asa Newell · Jock Landale · Zuby Ejiofor · Dorian Finney-Smith
Players at 1.73 or better on AQI
None. Every champion since 2001-02 had at least one. Why that matters.
Top-three salaries, 2025-26 games
Jalen Johnson 72; Dyson Daniels 76; CJ McCollum 76 (91% of possible games)
Injuries
- Henri Veesaar · Out for seasonTorn right ACL (listed Sep 21)
- Mouhamed Gueye · OutFractured foot, surgery (listed Jul 15)
- Luguentz Dort · Day-to-dayRight knee contusion; missed first two preseason games (Oct 5, Oct 8)
- CJ McCollum · ReturnedNose contusion cost him the Oct 5 preseason opener; back in the starting lineup Oct 8
Rookies to watch
- Kingston Flemings (No. 8): Started Oct 5 for McCollum; 15 pts, 5 ast, 3 stl leading the second unit Oct 8 at SAS. Snyder praised his competitiveness, defense and passing.
- Zuby Ejiofor (No. 23): NBA.com names him in the backup-PF competition with Gueye and Newell; limited preseason detail.
Roster and contracts
| Player | Pos | Age | 2026-27 salary | AQI | AQI season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | F | 24 | $30.0M | 0.99 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Dyson Daniels | G | 23 | $25.0M | 0.91 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| CJ McCollum | G | 35 | $21.0M | 0.50 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Luguentz Dort | G | 27 | $18.2M | 1.05 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Onyeka Okongwu | F | 25 | $16.1M | 0.46 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | G | 28 | $14.4M | 1.14 | 2025-26 | |
| Corey Kispert | F | 27 | $14.0M | -1.36 | 2025-26 | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | F | 33 | $13.3M | 1.18 | 2024-25 | |
| Aaron Wiggins | G | 27 | $9.2M | 1.17 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Asa Newell | F | 21 | $3.4M | — | ||
| Mouhamed Gueye | F | 23 | $2.4M | 0.22 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Cameron CorhenRookie | F | 22 | — | — | ||
| RayJ Dennis | G | 25 | — | — | ||
| Zuby EjioforRookie | F | 22 | — | — | ||
| Kingston FlemingsRookie | G | 19 | — | — | ||
| Keshon Gilbert | G | 23 | — | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Kobe JohnsonRookie | G | 23 | — | — | ||
| Jock Landale | C | 30 | — | -0.34 | 2025-26 | |
| Isaac McKneelyRookie | G | 22 | — | — | ||
| Henri VeesaarRookie | C | 22 | — | — | Out | |
| Jalen Wilson | F | 25 | — | -1.05 | 2024-25 |
AQI is a player's on-court net rating × usage × (true shooting ÷ 0.550): his 2025-26 number if he played 1,000 minutes, otherwise his latest 1,500-minute season. Highlighted players are at or above 1.73, the floor every champion's best player has cleared. Salaries and injury designations from ESPN as of October 13, 2026.
Common questions
What is the Atlanta Hawks win total for 2026-27?
The median win total across BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 and BetRivers is 43.5 (BetMGM 43.5 · BetRivers 43.5 · Caesars 43.5 · DraftKings 43.5 · bet365 43.5).
How many games will the Hawks win in 2026-27?
DataDunkNBA projects 43-39. The model and the line are within five wins of each other, so there's no lean.
Who is injured for the Hawks?
Henri Veesaar: Out for season (Torn right ACL (listed Sep 21)); Mouhamed Gueye: Out (Fractured foot, surgery (listed Jul 15)); Luguentz Dort: Day-to-day (Right knee contusion; missed first two preseason games (Oct 5, Oct 8)); CJ McCollum: Returned (Nose contusion cost him the Oct 5 preseason opener; back in the starting lineup Oct 8).
East projected standings
| Seed | Team | Line | Our record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Knicks | 52.5 | 52-30 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 51.5 | 52-30 |
| 3 | Detroit Pistons | 48.5 | 50-32 |
| 4 | Philadelphia 76ers | 50.5 | 48-34 |
| 5 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 48.5 | 48-34 |
| 6 | Toronto Raptors | 46.5 | 46-36 |
| 7 | Miami Heat | 46.5 | 45-37 |
| 8 | Orlando Magic | 43.5 | 43-39 |
| 9 | Atlanta Hawks | 43.5 | 43-39 |
| 10 | Charlotte Hornets | 38.5 | 40-42 |
| 11 | Indiana Pacers | 43.5 | 40-42 |
| 12 | Washington Wizards | 34.5 | 32-50 |
| 13 | Chicago Bulls | 29.5 | 30-52 |
| 14 | Milwaukee Bucks | 25.5 | 27-55 |
| 15 | Brooklyn Nets | 24.5 | 25-57 |
Read the full reasoning for every team in Vegas vs. the Numbers: our 2026-27 predictions, and how the contender tests work in the four tests preview and the AQI explainer.