Sacramento Kings 2026-27
The Sacramento Kings went 22-60 in 2025-26 and ranked 28th in net rating and 28th in defense. The sportsbooks set their 2026-27 win total at 20.5. Our model has them at 26 wins, and our projected record, which weights the line three to one, is 22-60, the No. 15 seed in the West. The model sits 5.8 wins above the line, so our call is the over.
The question
Can No. 7 pick Darius Acuff Jr. run a 26th-ranked offense from day one, and can a veteran core that missed huge chunks of last season stay healthy (and stay put amid trade talk)?
Projected starters
Reporting confidence: medium.
Bench rotation
Precious Achiuwa · Ben Simmons · Maxime Raynaud · Alex Karaban
Players at 1.73 or better on AQI
None. Every champion since 2001-02 had at least one. Why that matters.
Top-three salaries, 2025-26 games
Zach LaVine 39; Domantas Sabonis 19; De'Andre Hunter 45 (40% of possible games)
Injuries
- Maxime Raynaud · OutRight patellar subluxation suffered in a preseason game (as of about Oct 3)
Rookies to watch
- Darius Acuff Jr. (No. 7): Projected starting PG. 19 pts (8-17) in his Oct 5 debut. Christie: "His poise is at a really high level."
- Alex Karaban (No. 29): Acquired via CLE. No minutes reporting found.
- Emanuel Sharp (No. 45): Second-round pick. No minutes reporting found.
Roster and contracts
| Player | Pos | Age | 2026-27 salary | AQI | AQI season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | G | 31 | $49.0M | -3.27 | 2025-26 | |
| Domantas Sabonis | F | 30 | $45.5M | 0.75 | 2024-25 | Day-To-Day |
| De'Andre Hunter | F | 28 | $24.9M | -0.19 | 2025-26 | |
| Keegan Murray | F | 26 | $24.1M | 0.13 | 2024-25 | |
| Malik Monk | G | 28 | $21.2M | -2.20 | 2025-26 | Day-To-Day |
| Nique Clifford | G | 24 | $3.3M | -0.88 | 2025-26 | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | F | 24 | $2.3M | — | ||
| Dylan Cardwell | C | 24 | $2.2M | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Maxime Raynaud | C | 23 | $2.2M | -2.31 | 2025-26 | Out |
| Precious Achiuwa | F | 27 | — | -1.36 | 2025-26 | |
| Darius Acuff Jr.Rookie | G | 19 | — | — | ||
| Leaky Black | F | 27 | — | — | ||
| Adam Flagler | G | 26 | — | — | ||
| Alex KarabanRookie | F | 23 | — | — | ||
| Tristen Newton | G | 25 | — | — | ||
| Elfrid Payton | G | 32 | — | — | ||
| Daeqwon Plowden | G | 28 | — | — | ||
| Emanuel SharpRookie | G | 22 | — | — | ||
| Ben Simmons | G | 30 | — | — |
AQI is a player's on-court net rating × usage × (true shooting ÷ 0.550): his 2025-26 number if he played 1,000 minutes, otherwise his latest 1,500-minute season. Highlighted players are at or above 1.73, the floor every champion's best player has cleared. Salaries and injury designations from ESPN as of October 13, 2026.
Common questions
What is the Sacramento Kings win total for 2026-27?
The median win total across BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 and BetRivers is 20.5 (BetMGM 21.5 · BetRivers 20.5 · Caesars 21.5 · DraftKings 20.5 · bet365 20.5).
How many games will the Kings win in 2026-27?
DataDunkNBA projects 22-60. The model sits 5.8 wins above the line, so our call is the over.
Who is injured for the Kings?
Maxime Raynaud: Out (Right patellar subluxation suffered in a preseason game (as of about Oct 3)).
West projected standings
| Seed | Team | Line | Our record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 62.5 | 63-19 |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs | 60.5 | 60-22 |
| 3 | Denver Nuggets | 48.5 | 49-33 |
| 4 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 48.5 | 48-34 |
| 5 | Houston Rockets | 47.5 | 47-35 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Lakers | 45.5 | 44-38 |
| 7 | Portland Trail Blazers | 41.5 | 41-41 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 39.5 | 40-42 |
| 9 | Golden State Warriors | 37.5 | 38-44 |
| 10 | Utah Jazz | 37.5 | 35-47 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 33.5 | 33-49 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Clippers | 28.5 | 31-51 |
| 13 | Memphis Grizzlies | 29.5 | 29-53 |
| 14 | New Orleans Pelicans | 28.5 | 29-53 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 20.5 | 22-60 |
Read the full reasoning for every team in Vegas vs. the Numbers: our 2026-27 predictions, and how the contender tests work in the four tests preview and the AQI explainer.