Minnesota Timberwolves 2026-27
The Minnesota Timberwolves went 49-33 in 2025-26 and ranked 10th in net rating and 8th in defense. The sportsbooks set their 2026-27 win total at 48.5. Our model has them at 45 wins, and our projected record, which weights the line three to one, is 48-34, the No. 4 seed in the West. The model and the line are within five wins of each other, so there's no lean.
The question
Does the LaMelo Ball-Anthony Edwards backcourt mesh, and is the frontcourt depth behind Gobert and Kuminga good enough to beat San Antonio and the rest of the West's elite?
Projected starters
Reporting confidence: high.
Bench rotation
Ayo Dosunmu · Terrence Shannon Jr. · Jaylen Clark · Cody Williams · Trey Lyles · Joan Beringer
Players at 1.73 or better on AQI
- LaMelo Ball 3.14
Top-three salaries, 2025-26 games
Anthony Edwards 61; LaMelo Ball 72; Rudy Gobert 76 (84% of possible games)
Injuries
- Donte DiVincenzo · OutAchilles
Roster and contracts
| Player | Pos | Age | 2026-27 salary | AQI | AQI season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | G | 25 | $48.9M | 1.27 | 2025-26 | |
| LaMelo Ball | G | 25 | $40.8M | 3.14 | 2025-26 | |
| Rudy Gobert | C | 34 | $36.5M | 0.73 | 2025-26 | |
| Jaden McDaniels | F | 26 | $26.2M | 0.51 | 2025-26 | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | F | 24 | $24.3M | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Cody Williams | F | 21 | $6.0M | -1.71 | 2025-26 | |
| Joan Beringer | F | 19 | $4.4M | — | ||
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | G | 26 | $2.8M | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Jaylen Clark | G | 24 | — | — | ||
| Donte DiVincenzo | G | 29 | — | 1.12 | 2025-26 | Out |
| Ayo Dosunmu | G | 26 | — | -0.39 | 2025-26 | |
| Isaiah EvansRookie | F | 20 | — | — | ||
| Enrique Freeman | F | 26 | — | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Bones Hyland | G | 26 | — | 1.11 | 2025-26 | |
| Trey Lyles | F | 30 | — | — | ||
| KJ Martin | F | 25 | — | — | ||
| Norchad Omier | F | 25 | — | — | ||
| Zyon Pullin | G | 25 | — | — | ||
| Antonio Reeves | G | 25 | — | — | ||
| Drew Timme | F | 26 | — | — | ||
| Rocco Zikarsky | C | 20 | — | — | Day-To-Day |
AQI is a player's on-court net rating × usage × (true shooting ÷ 0.550): his 2025-26 number if he played 1,000 minutes, otherwise his latest 1,500-minute season. Highlighted players are at or above 1.73, the floor every champion's best player has cleared. Salaries and injury designations from ESPN as of October 13, 2026.
Common questions
What is the Minnesota Timberwolves win total for 2026-27?
The median win total across BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 and BetRivers is 48.5 (BetMGM 48.5 · BetRivers 48.5 · Caesars 48.5 · DraftKings 48.5 · bet365 47.5).
How many games will the Timberwolves win in 2026-27?
DataDunkNBA projects 48-34. The model and the line are within five wins of each other, so there's no lean.
Who is injured for the Timberwolves?
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (Achilles).
West projected standings
| Seed | Team | Line | Our record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 62.5 | 63-19 |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs | 60.5 | 60-22 |
| 3 | Denver Nuggets | 48.5 | 49-33 |
| 4 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 48.5 | 48-34 |
| 5 | Houston Rockets | 47.5 | 47-35 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Lakers | 45.5 | 44-38 |
| 7 | Portland Trail Blazers | 41.5 | 41-41 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 39.5 | 40-42 |
| 9 | Golden State Warriors | 37.5 | 38-44 |
| 10 | Utah Jazz | 37.5 | 35-47 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 33.5 | 33-49 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Clippers | 28.5 | 31-51 |
| 13 | Memphis Grizzlies | 29.5 | 29-53 |
| 14 | New Orleans Pelicans | 28.5 | 29-53 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 20.5 | 22-60 |
Read the full reasoning for every team in Vegas vs. the Numbers: our 2026-27 predictions, and how the contender tests work in the four tests preview and the AQI explainer.