Memphis Grizzlies 2026-27
The Memphis Grizzlies went 25-57 in 2025-26 and ranked 24th in net rating and 23rd in defense. The sportsbooks set their 2026-27 win total at 29.5. Our model has them at 30 wins, and our projected record, which weights the line three to one, is 29-53, the No. 13 seed in the West. The model and the line are within five wins of each other, so there's no lean.
The question
Can Zach Edey stay on the floor after two ankle surgeries, and how much of the offense does Memphis hand to No. 3 pick Cameron Boozer in the first year after Ja Morant?
Projected starters
Reporting confidence: medium.
Bench rotation
Jaylen Wells · Scottie Pippen Jr. · Walter Clayton Jr. · Cam Spencer · Quinten Post · Isaiah Stewart · Kris Murray · GG Jackson
Players at 1.73 or better on AQI
None. Every champion since 2001-02 had at least one. Why that matters.
Top-three salaries, 2025-26 games
Jerami Grant 57; Isaiah Stewart 58; Cameron Boozer (70% of possible games)
Injuries
- Isaiah Stewart · OutModerate left ankle sprain (Oct 8)
- Zach Edey · Available (minutes limit)Two left ankle procedures and a left elbow procedure since 2025. Cleared to debut Oct 7, his first game since Dec 7.
- Micah Peavy · Out (preseason)Ankle; out Oct 9
Rookies to watch
- Cameron Boozer (No. 3): Projected starting PF and Rookie of the Year contender. 11/5/4 at ATL, 16/6 in 22 min vs ORL.
- Karim Lopez (No. 21): Acquired via DET. RealGM lists him as limited playing time.
Roster and contracts
| Player | Pos | Age | 2026-27 salary | AQI | AQI season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant | F | 32 | $34.2M | -0.04 | 2025-26 | |
| Isaiah Stewart | C | 25 | $15.0M | 0.28 | 2025-26 | Out |
| Ty Jerome | G | 29 | $9.2M | — | ||
| Taylor Hendricks | F | 22 | $7.8M | -1.85 | 2025-26 | |
| Zach Edey | C | 24 | $6.3M | — | ||
| Cedric Coward | F | 23 | $6.0M | 0.15 | 2025-26 | |
| Kris Murray | F | 26 | $5.3M | 0.17 | 2025-26 | |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | G | 23 | $4.2M | -1.68 | 2025-26 | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | F | 24 | $2.5M | — | ||
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | G | 25 | $2.5M | 0.25 | 2024-25 | |
| Cam Spencer | G | 26 | $2.4M | -0.50 | 2025-26 | |
| GG Jackson | F | 21 | $2.4M | -0.88 | 2025-26 | |
| Jaylen Wells | F | 23 | $2.3M | -0.93 | 2025-26 | |
| Micah Peavy | G | 25 | $2.2M | — | Day-To-Day | |
| Cameron BoozerRookie | F | 19 | — | — | ||
| Carson CooperRookie | C | 22 | — | — | ||
| Karim LopezRookie | F | 19 | — | — | ||
| Jahmai Mashack | G | 23 | — | — | ||
| Quinten Post | C | 26 | — | 0.48 | 2025-26 | |
| Javon Small | G | 23 | — | — |
AQI is a player's on-court net rating × usage × (true shooting ÷ 0.550): his 2025-26 number if he played 1,000 minutes, otherwise his latest 1,500-minute season. Highlighted players are at or above 1.73, the floor every champion's best player has cleared. Salaries and injury designations from ESPN as of October 13, 2026.
Common questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies win total for 2026-27?
The median win total across BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 and BetRivers is 29.5 (BetMGM 29.5 · BetRivers 29.5 · Caesars 30.5 · DraftKings 29.5).
How many games will the Grizzlies win in 2026-27?
DataDunkNBA projects 29-53. The model and the line are within five wins of each other, so there's no lean.
Who is injured for the Grizzlies?
Isaiah Stewart: Out (Moderate left ankle sprain (Oct 8)); Zach Edey: Available (minutes limit) (Two left ankle procedures and a left elbow procedure since 2025. Cleared to debut Oct 7, his first game since Dec 7.); Micah Peavy: Out (preseason) (Ankle; out Oct 9).
West projected standings
| Seed | Team | Line | Our record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 62.5 | 63-19 |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs | 60.5 | 60-22 |
| 3 | Denver Nuggets | 48.5 | 49-33 |
| 4 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 48.5 | 48-34 |
| 5 | Houston Rockets | 47.5 | 47-35 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Lakers | 45.5 | 44-38 |
| 7 | Portland Trail Blazers | 41.5 | 41-41 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 39.5 | 40-42 |
| 9 | Golden State Warriors | 37.5 | 38-44 |
| 10 | Utah Jazz | 37.5 | 35-47 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 33.5 | 33-49 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Clippers | 28.5 | 31-51 |
| 13 | Memphis Grizzlies | 29.5 | 29-53 |
| 14 | New Orleans Pelicans | 28.5 | 29-53 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 20.5 | 22-60 |
Read the full reasoning for every team in Vegas vs. the Numbers: our 2026-27 predictions, and how the contender tests work in the four tests preview and the AQI explainer.